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Nebula: Research · Eagle Nebula · Pillars of Creation · M16

Keeper Save Probability

Interpretable goalkeeper save-probability prototype on 577 labeled World Cup 2022 shots.

Role
Author
Period
Jan 2025 → May 2025
Instruments
Python · scikit-learn · NumPy · Matplotlib

A small sports-analytics study that favours explanation over accuracy: a logistic model whose coefficients can be read, Monte Carlo bands around every probability, and a grid search over keeper positioning that turns the model into an actual recommendation.